| 9/28/04 |
In my August column I mentioned that our recent explorations have driven
home the fact that Montana is really comprised of three distinct geographic and economic
zones. Western Montana is thriving, with the possible exception of a few heavily logging
and other resource-dependent economies like Libby. An hours drive south, though,
Flathead County (Kalispell) scored #1 in Balanced Economic Composition for the entire
Rocky Mountain region in a recent "State of the Rockies" report released by
Colorado College. Eastern Montana is dwindling, with many counties consistently losing
seven or eight percent of their population every year! Central Montana combines
characteristics of its neighbors to both sides, both good and bad. In general, the middle
portion of the state is holding its own, handily in some areas and tenuously in others. Here
in the Gallatin Valley, we only have to look out the window to see that construction is
booming. Not only residential construction, but theres a lot of new businesses going
up. In the aforementioned "State of the Rockies" report, Gallatin County scores
high in most categories, including the #1 ranking (of all counties in the 8-state Rocky
Mountain Region) for "Healthy Places to Live and Work". Theres some 280
counties evaluated in that survey, based on fifteen criteria covering economic, cultural,
and environmental amenities. It will come as no big surprise to anyone who travels the
area, but university towns with good recreational opportunities close at hand score well
throughout the region. In Montana, thats primarily Missoula and Bozeman. The
Flathead also scores quite well, though, despite no university. In fact, those Montana
counties do exceptionally well, scoring in the top ten in most categories. I certainly
dont find anything to disagree with in their findings, and while its often
said you can prove anything you want with statistics, I dont see that the
"State of the Rockies" report is biased in any way. It just lays it out, for
better or worse, richer or poorer. www.coloradocollege.edu/stateoftherockies
And so, the nitty-gritty results; the criteria are compiled into an overall letter
grade. Some counties (like Missoula) that score well in some categories and not so well in
others, didnt get that good of a letter grade, but anyway
.
For metropolitan counties (containing an urban population greater than 50,000) a few
Montana results;
- Yellowstone (Billings); C
- Missoula; D+
- Carbon; D-
- Cascade (Great Falls); F-
Ahem
. So you can see, Montanas larger cities dont really shine
according to these criteria. I am surprised at the Missoula county overall score, since as
mentioned they did really well in several categories, but kind of took a beating on the
economic front.
Montana does much better in the "Micropolitan Counties" category (urban
population greater than 2500).
- Lewis & Clark (Helena); A+
- Gallatin; A
- Ravalli (Hamilton); A-
- Flathead; B
- Lake (Polson); C
- Park (Livingston); C
- Silver Bow (Butte); C
No big surprise, but theres a cluster of eastern (and a few central) Montana
counties in the D- and F range. No sense in listing all those
. Now, for "Rural
Counties" (urban populations less than 2500);
- Jefferson (Whitehall); A+ (in the top five overall for the entire region)
- Stillwater (Columbus); A
- Sweetgrass (Big Timber); B
- Madison (Ennis); B
- Granite (Deer Lodge); B
Once again, theres a predictable cluster of rural eastern MT counties with
abysmal grades, but also a surprising cluster of them in the C or C- range (Rosebud,
Daniels, Prairie, Judith Basin, Garfield, Fallon, and Liberty).
The other item of note is in the "Distressed Counties" category, those with
the lowest per capita income levels, and highest poverty and unemployment rates. The
Colorado College report studiously avoids mention of the glaring fact that all these
counties contain Indian Reservations, however it does mention that theyre
"faced with a different set of development needs than counties that are experiencing
high levels of growth". Indeed
.
So whats to be learned from this? Well, for one thing; anytime you go making
generalizations, you probably dont have to look too far to find an exception. For
instance, those rural eastern MT counties that scored well are attractive only if
youre not trying to find a job! And, even though Missoula County does very well in
education, cultural, and recreational categories, their job diversity is surprisingly
lacking. So, as Im attempting to draw some sort of final conclusion from this
sometimes contradictory compilation of statistics, I find Im looking at the
"Small Business Vitality" page; for counties generating the most small
businesses, 1980-2001. Number One, for non-metro counties in the entire Rocky Mountain
Region, is right here; Gallatin County! Number Three is Flathead County. Number Two,
incidentally, is Mohave County AZ.
The reason so many people are moving here and starting small businesses primarily has to do with the non-economic factors on the list;
the recreational, educational, and overall "quality of life" criteria. Newcomers
and long-time residents alike are starting new technology and small manufacturing
businesses right and left. Thats the economic future of this state, in my opinion,
and folks definitely arent moving here to get a job at a mine or lumber mill. The
times, they are achanging, although that fact seems to be lost on some of the
candidates that are running for election. |
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